Premier League Golden Boot 2017-18 Betting 

The Golden Boot is an award that is attributed to the player that scores the most goals in the Premier League season. It's that simple. Now, players would have you believe that individual accolades means nothing to them in the face of titles and cup victories, but, believes us, strikers care. Some great strikers down the years have collected the Golden Boot in the Premier League era from Alan Shearer - the Premier League's record goalscorer with 260 - to Thierry Henry, Michael Owen, Cristiano Ronaldo and Luis Suarez. But, who will be next?

 

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A guide to betting on the Premier League's Top Scorer

Aside from betting on league winners and the teams to be relegated, using a free bet on the winner of the Golden Boot is amongst the most popular outright football markets. The accolade given to the top scorer in a league or competition, betting on the Golden Boot provides a season long opportunity and often remains far competitive than that of the league winner. A hat-trick one week for a certain player can see their price slashed whilst if they are to suffer a long term injury their odds will go the other way. Many of the major leagues will have the market so it's not just the Premier League's top scorer you can have a punt on. If you fancy Cristiano Ronaldo to outscore Lionel Messi in Spain or perhaps fancy Gonzalo Higuain to fire Juventus to another Italian league title, you can use a free bet on it!

The bookmakers will offer enhanced odds as the season starts on certain players topping the scoring charts and most new striking arrivals will see a range of specials markets priced. For example Ladbrokes recently offered a host of odds related to Arsenal's new striker Alexandre Lacazette. As well as being priced at 6/1 to top the scoring charts, you can get odds of 12/1 that he scores over 30 Premier League goals and odds of 33/1 that he scores in 12 consecutive Premier League games, breaking the record set by Jamie Vardy in the 2015/16 season.

In terms of the number of goals that will usually seal the accolade, well anything above 25 is usually enough. Not since the 2011/12 season when Wayne Rooney exceeded that tally to hit 27 has a player scored more than 25 and not won the Golden Boot. In total there has only been five occasions when a player has scored 25 goals or more in a 38-game season and not won the Golden Boot so it's a good figure to keep in mind when placing your bet. 30 goals is pretty much a guarantee that you end the season as the top scorer and that's the case pretty much throughout Europe aside from Spain where Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi have re-written the rulebooks. Everytime a player has gone over the 30-goal mark in a 38 game season in the Premier League, it's been enough for them to top the scoring charts. It's not the most regular of occurrences however, happening just seven times in the history of the Premier League. Alan Shearer managed it three times, whilst the illustrious names of Cristiano Ronaldo, Thierry Henry and Luis Suarez can also list it as an achievement. Andy Cole and Shearer share the record for the most goals in a single season with 34 though that tally was reached when there was 42 goals in a season. The record for a 38-game season is 31 goals which Alan Shearer, Cristiano Ronaldo and Luis Suarez all-reached. Kevin Phillips also managed 30 goals in the 1999-2000 whilst playing for Sunderland and it's quite remarkable to think anyone could score 30 top flight goals for Sunderland these days. In fact when they were relegated in the 2016/17 season, they managed just 29 league goals all season! 

Top contenders

Harry Kane has won the last two awards in a row after scoring 54 goals in the past two seasons, although Romelu Lukaku was in the driving seat until Kane scored seven goals in his last two games of the season. History tells us a team in the top four will possess the player most likely to win the award and you'd have to go back to the 1999-2000 season when Kevin Phillips finished top goalscorer with Sunderland to prove that notion wrong.

We take a look at some of the leading contenders and keep you updated with their form so you know who's hot and who's not in the race for the Golden Boot.

Harry Kane

Can the Spurs man actually make it three years on the spin? Well he's the favourite to do so again and if he can stay injury free, it's hard to look past a man that just lives for goals. After making his traditional slow start and not scoring in August, he has exploded in to life in September, scoring 11 goals in all competitions throughout the month. That included six in the Premier League as he hit braces in away games at Everton, West Ham and Huddersfield. If he can start scoring on a regular basis at Wembley in the league, then he could easily exceed 30 in the league this season.

Romelu Lukaku

Lukaku has made a fine start to life at Old Trafford, scoring 10 goals in all competitions in his first nine games for the club. That start broke a record set by Sir Bobby Charlton, who notched nine in his first nine games for United. The Belgian has helped United make a great start to the season with his movement up-top making his new side look a far more dangerous outlet than last season. He's without question Jose Mourinho's first choice number nine and is the second favourite, only behind Kane.

Sergio Aguero

The Argentinian forward won the award three seasons ago when he scored 26 goals for the Citizens, but Chelsea ultimately won the title that season. Odds on Aguero have drifted heavily after he suffered broken ribs in a car accident and faces a lengthy spell out with injury. City are looking irresistible going forward this season and it wouldn't be a surprise to still see him get over 20 but scoring more than the likes of Kane and Lukaku now looks a tough ask. His Manchester City team-mate Gabriel Jesus now appears to be a smarter bet as Pep Guardiola's sides first choice striker in his absence.

Alexandre Lacazette

The Frenchman can be found in 20/1 in places and whilst he has looked sharp in spear heading Arsenal's frontline, it's unlikely he will quite rack up the number the other contenders will. Arsenal's goals come from across the team though Lacazette has impressed particularly at the Emirates including a brace against West Brom and he could yet prove an astute outside bet.

Alvaro Morata

The Spaniard has done a fine job of replacing Diego Costa and scored a fabulous hat-trick in Chelsea's 4-0 demolition away to Stoke. He is without question Antonio Conte's first choice frontman and if he can form a good understanding with Eden Hazard, who has recently returned from injury, he will be there or there abouts come the season's end.

Outside bet

Just like when Leicester won the Premier League, sometimes, surprise goal-getters crop up too, a la Dion Dublin who has a Golden Boot on his mantle. Bear this in mind too: Dimitar Berbatov won the Golden Boot award for Manchester United with an in-prime Wayne Rooney, Michael Owen and Javier Hernandez in the ranks.

Sadio Mane

Mane is not an out and out striker and has never got more than 15 Premier League goals in his three seasons to date but the Liverpool man is getting better and better each year. Whilst all the talk this summer has been around Philippe Coutinho's potential departure from Anfield, some Liverpool fans would argue that Mane is even more influential. He's started the season well with three goals and given how many goals Jurgen Klopp's side score, he's bound to get plenty more before the year is out.

Javier Hernandez

Much was made of the Hammers capture of the former Manchester United man this summer as they sought to finally recruit someone capable of finding the net on a regular basis. He scored twice away to Southampton in the second game of the season and is proven goal getter in this league. Whether or not he can quite hit in excess of 20-25 goals playing for West Ham may be unlikely but he could be worth an outside bet.

Last 5 Premier League Golden Boot Winners

  • 2016/17 - Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur) 29 goals
  • 2015/16 - Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur) 25 goals
  • 2014/15 - Sergio Aguero (Manchester City) 26 goals
  • 2013/14 - Luis Suarez (Liverpool) 31 goals
  • 2013/13 - Robin van Persie (Manchester United) 26 goals

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