Cheltenham 2018: Day 2, Ladies Day

This page takes a statistical look at Ladies Day for the 2018 Cheltenham Festival. View our ultimate betting guide for the festival for an incredible list of betting offers, free bets and race enhancements. 

The RSA Chase is the main supporting race but is still a Grade 1 contest contested by the best staying novices. The race is often a trial for subsequent Gold Cups but is a gruelling challenge for young horses. The card on the second day also features the only Cross Country race of the week and the most prestigious bumper of the season. These could be described as niche races and not for the connoisseur but any race at Cheltenham is a betting challenge and gets the juices flowing.

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Ladies Day is a relatively new concept and the original was Gold Cup day on the Thursday of Royal Ascot. The most famous Ladies Day is probably now the Friday of the Grand National meeting at Aintree. It truly is Liverpool’s day out and the highlight of the social season. The occasion is more about the party than the racing despite the fact that the sport is at the highest level with graded races and major handicaps.

Ladies Day at Cheltenham is different in that the focus is still on the best jumps racing of the season. Just about every attendee is there for the quality of the racing and seeing the best horses run in championship races. The highlight of the day is the Champion Chase, which brings together the best chasers over two miles. Jumping accurately at speed is vital and provides a great spectacle but sadly the two times winner, Sprinter Sacre, will not be part of the show in 2017 after being retired.

See all the records and trends for the other three days of the Festival by clicking the links below: 

Champion Day | St Patrick's Thursday | Gold Cup Day

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Here is our preview of the Champion Chase.

Guide to the Ballymore Properties Novices’ Hurdle

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Hurdle Race (Two miles and five furlongs – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses four-years-old and older 

The Ballymore Properties Novices’ Hurdle has been run since 1971 and is the championship race for novices at the intermediary distance. The race has been won by some legends of the jumping game, including Istabraq in 1997 and Hardy Eustace in 2003. The race is generally the opening contest of the second day of the meeting and often produces future festival champions.   

The Last 10 Winners of the Neptune Investment Management Novices’ Hurdle 

  • 2017 - Willoughby Court (14/1) Ben pauling, David Bass
  • 2016 – Yorkhill (3/1) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh  
  • 2015 - Windsor Park (9/2) Dermot Weld, Davy Russell
  • 2014 - Faugheen (6/4F) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh
  • 2013 - The New One (7/2) Nigel Twiston-Davies, Sam Twiston-Davies
  • 2012 - Simonsig (2/1F) Nicky Henderson, Barry Geraghty
  • 2011 - First Lieutenant (7/1) Mouse Morris, Davy Russell
  • 2010 - Peddlers Cross (7/1) Donald McCain, Jason Maguire
  • 2009 - Mikael D'Haguenet (5/2F) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh
  • 2008 - Fiveforthree (7/1) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh 

Ballymore Properties Novices’ Hurdle Trends 

  • 34 of the last 34 winners won or finished second last time out.
  • 28 of the last 31 winners started in the first 5 in the betting.
  • 16 of the last 18 winners had contested a pattern race over hurdles.
  • 6 of the last 11 winners were won by the Irish.
  • 16 of the last 18 winners were NH bred.
  • Only 3 wins aged over 6 since 1974.
  • No winning 4 year-olds since 1991.
  • All 14 Challow Hurdle winners to run have been beaten. 

Pointers And Reasoning

This race is all about one horse and that horse is Samcro. He could run in the novices’ hurdle over a shorter distance and would even be a leading contender for the Champion Hurdle. Samcro is unbeaten in six starts and has won three bumpers and three novices’ hurdles. Only two favourites have won this race over the last ten years and there has been no odds-winner. For many SAMCRO is the Irish banker of the meeting and the horse can justify the hype by winning the first race on the second day of the Festival and will the become short in the betting for next year’s Champion.

Guide to the RSA Steeple Chase 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Steeplechase (Three miles – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses aged –five-years-old and older 

The RSA Chase is the novices’ version of the Gold Cup and often provides pointers for horses subsequently running in the most prestigious chase of the season. The race has had several sponsors but always features 19 fences on the Old Course. Several winners of the race have gone on to win the Gold Cup, including the latest to win both races, Bobs Worth who won the RSA Chase in 2012. 

The Last 10 Winners of the RSA Chase 

  • 2017 - Might Bite (7/2) Nicky Henderson, Nico de Boinville
  • 2016 – Blaklion (8/1) Nigel Twiston-Davies, Ryan Hatch
  • 2015 – Don Poli (13/8) Willie Mullins, Bryan Cooper
  • 2014 - O’Faolains Boy (12/1) Rebbeca Curtis, Barry Geraghty
  • 2013 – Lord Windermere (8/1) Jim Culloty, Davy Russell
  • 2012 – Bobs Worth (9/2) Nicky Henderson, Barry Geraghty
  • 2011 – Bostons Angel (16/1) Jessica Harrington, Robbie Power
  • 2010 – Weapons Amnesty (10/1) Charles Byrnes, Davy Russell
  • 2009 – Cooldine (9/4F) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh
  • 2008 – Albertas Run (4/1F) Jonjo O'Neill, AP McCoy  

RSA Chase Trends 

  • The 52 of the last 53 winners all ran in the same calendar year.
  • The last 28 winners finished in the first 3 last time out.
  • The last 15 winners had run at least 3 times over fences.
  • The last 12 winners finished placed at worst in a Grade 1 or 2 chase.
  • 14 of the last 17 runnings were won by a 7 year-old.
  • Look to prominently ridden horses.
  • All 19 winners of the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase to run have been beaten.
  • No winner aged 9+ since 1992.
  • Only 4 winners younger than 7 since 1978.
  • Only 2 of the last 24 winners were not traditionally bred.
  • Just 1 ex-flat horse has placed since 1994.  

Pointers And Reasoning

The novices’ stayers chase championship race is often won by one of the market leaders but three horses have prevailed at double figure odds in the last 10 years. Two winners in that spell have gone on to win the Gold Cup and the 2017 winner, Might Bite, is the favourite for that race.  Nicky Henderson trains Might Bite and he also won the RSA Chase in 2012 with Bobs Worth. Barry Geraghty is the only two-time winning jockey since 2008. BLACK CORTON has won eight races in the last year and will be ridden by Bryony Frost at Cheltenham barring injuries and the lady jockey can win on the horse again. 

Guide To the Coral Cup 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Hurdle Race (Two miles and five furlongs – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses aged four-years-old and older 

The Coral Cup is one of the most competitive handicap hurdles of the season and takes place on the second day of the meeting. The Grade 3 race was first run in 1993 and was won by Olympian. The Martin Pipe trained horse won the £50,000 bonus for winning the Imperial Cup at Sandown the previous Saturday and any race at the festival. The Coral Cup is one of the biggest turnover handicaps of the National Hunt season but favourites have a poor record. 

The Last 10 Winners of the Coral Cup 

  • 2017 - Supassundae (16/1) Jessica Harrington, Robbie Power
  • 2016 – Diamond King (12/1) Gordon Elliott, Davy Russell 
  • 2015 – Aux Ptits Soins (9/1) Paul Nichols, Sam Twiston-Davies 
  • 2014 - Whisper (14/1) Nicky Henderson, Nico De Boinville 
  • 2013 – Medinas (33/1) Alan King, Wayne Hutchinson 
  • 2012 – Son Of Flicka (16/1) Donald McCain, Jason Maguire 
  • 2011 – Carlito Brigante (16/1) Gordon Elliot, Davy Russell
  • 2010 – Sprint River (9/1) Nicky Henderson, Barry Geraghty 
  • 2009 – Ninetieth Minute (14/1) Tom Taaffe, Paddy Flood 
  • 2008 – Naiad Du Misselot (7/1) Freddy Murphy, Davy Russell 

Coral Cup Trends 

  • 8 of the last 12 winners were second season hurdlers.
  • 13 of the last 24 winners won last time out.
  • 17 of the last 24 win and placed horses had run no more than 3 times that season.
  • 13 of the last 16 winners had won no more than one handicap.
  • 18 of the last 24 winners had won earlier in the season.
  • 12 of the last 17 winners carried no more than 11st 2lb.
  • Just 1 of 24 horses rated 150+ have won
  • Horses ages 10+ are 2-31 to place since 1999. 

Pointers And Reasoning 

No favourite has won the Coral Cup over the last ten years when the average price of the winner has been over 12/1 in a range from 7/1 to 33/1. No favourite has obliged in that spell. Gordon Elliott and Nicky Henderson are the only two-time winning trainers since 2008. There has been a range of weight carrying performances during the last decade. At the time of writing the weights had not been announced for the race so it’s difficult to produce much relevant reasoning. DEFI DU SEUIL is one of the class acts in the projected field as the horse won the juvenile’s championship race at the Festival last year.    

Guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Steeplechase (Two miles – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses aged –five-years-old and older 

The Champion Chase as the name suggests is the championship race for two mile chasers, the minimum distance. Twelve fences are jumped at speed and one error can cost a horse any chance of being involved in the finish. The race is the feature contest of the second day of the meeting. The Champion Chase was first run in 1959 and is the most prestigious chase over the distance in the National Hunt calendar. 

The Last 10 Winners of the Queen Mother Champion Chase 

  • 2017 - Special Tiara (11/1) Henry de Bromhead, Noel Fehily
  • 2016 – Sprinter Sacre (5/1) Nicky Henderson, Nico de Boinville 
  • 2015 – Dodging Bullets (9/2) Paul Nicholls, Sam Twiston-Davies
  • 2014 - Sire De Grugy (11/4F) Gary Moore, Jamie Moore
  • 2013 - Sprinter Sacre (1/4F) Nicky Henderson, Barry Geraghty
  • 2012 – Finian's Rainbow (4/1) Nicky Henderson, Barry Geraghty
  • 2011 – Sizing Europe (10/1) Henry de Bromhead, Andrew Lynch
  • 2010 – Big Zeb (10/1) Colm Murphy, Barry Geraghty
  • 2009 – Master Minded (4/11F) Paul Nicholls, Ruby Walsh
  • 2008 – Master Minded (3/1) Paul Nicholls, Ruby Walsh

Queen Mother Champion Chase Trends 

  • 20 of the last 21 winners had run no more than 4 times that season.
  • 35 of the last 36 winners started 11/1 or shorter.
  • 14 of the last 16 winners had won a Grade 1.
  • 13 of the last 14 defending champions that ran were beaten.
  • 11 of the last 16 winners contested the Tingle Creek Chase.
  • 20 of the last 33 winners had won at the Cheltenham Festival before.
  • The last 15 winners ran during the same calendar year.
  • 5 of the last 15 winners were Irish trained.
  • Only 2 winners aged older than 10 since 1977.  

Pointers And Reasoning 

This race is often run at a break neck pace and over two miles and 12 fences there is very little margin of error. There have been two dual winners over the lat ten years and Special Tiara runs again after winning the race last year. Douvan was well beaten as the odds-on favourite and Altior takes that role this time. Min put up a great performance in Ireland recently and is the Irish trained horse with the best chance. Nicky Henderson knows how to produce a Champion Chase winner and ALTIOR cannot be opposed even at a short price. 

Guide to the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Cross Country Race (Three miles and seven furlongs – Cross Country Course) 
  • Open to horses aged five-years-old and older 

The Glenfarclas Chase is the only race run on the cross country course during the meeting but there are two trials earlier in the season which often provide pointers to how things pan out at the festival. There are 32 obstacles during the race which are of varying type. The event was first run in 2005 which was the year of the first four day festival. It was originally a handicap but in 2016 the contest became a conditions chase. Some critics believe it should not be part of the festival but it is now the championship race of the season in this discipline. 

The Last 10 Winners of the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase 

  • 2017 - Cause Of Causes - (4/1) Gordon Elliott, Jamie Codd
  • 2016 – Josies Orders (15/8F) Enda Bolger, Nina Carberry 
  • 2015 – Rivage D’Or (16/1) Tony Martin, Davy Russell 
  • 2014 – Balthazar King (4/1) Philip Hobbs, Richard Johnson 
  • 2013 – Big Shu (14/1) Peter Maher, Barry Cash 
  • 2012 – Balthazar King (11/2) Philip Hobbs, Richard Johnson 
  • 2011 – Sizing Australia (13/2) Henry De Bromhead, Andrew Lynch 
  • 2010 – A New Story (25/1) Michael Hourigan, Adrian Heskin 
  • 2009 – Garde Champetre (7/2) Enda Bolger, Nina Carberry 
  • 2008 – Garde Champetre (4/1) Enda Bolger, Nina Carberry 

Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Trends 

  • Irish trained horses have won 9/11 races to date.
  • Edna Bolger has trained 3 of the last 10 winners.
  • 9 out of 10 winners were in the first three in the betting.
  • All winners apart from 2012 winner, of this race had run in a Cross Country race before.
  • 5 of 11 winners won last time out
  • 9 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 127+ on last chase start
  • 6 of 10 winners had run in past 40 days
  • 9 of 10 winners had run 2 to 5 times that season  

Pointers And Reasoning 

This is one of the relatively new developments at the festival and it was first run in 2005. It’s a cross country race over three circuits on the inner of the main course. Some horses love the variety of obstacles while others feel out of their comfort zone. Enda Bolger is the past master at producing horses for the race and he has specifically designed fences at his training base. Irish trained horses have an excellent record in the race. CANTLOW has a vast amount experience in the discipline and can finally win the race after a number of unsuccessful runs. 

Guide to the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • Hurdle Race (Two miles – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses aged four-years-old only 

The race is named in honour of Fred Winter who had a successful career as a National Hunt jockey and trainer. The race was introduced in 2005 and acts as a consolation contest for four year olds who are not quite good enough to race in the Triumph Hurdle, the championship race for juveniles. The race has had Grade 3 status since 2009 and is run on the second day of the meeting.  

The Last 10 Winners of the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

  • 2017 - Flying Tiger - (33/1) Nick Wiliams, Richard Johnson 
  • 2016 – Diego Du Charmil (13/2) Paul Nicholls, Sam Twiston-Davies
  • 2015 – Qualando (25/1) Paul Nicholls, Nick Schofield
  • 2014 - Hawk High (33/1) Tim Easterby, Brian Hughes
  • 2013 – Flaxen Flare (25/1) Gordon Elliot, Davy Condon
  • 2012 – Une Artiste (40/1) Nicky Henderson, Jeremiah McGrath
  • 2011 – What A Charm (9/1) Arthur Moore, Paul Townend
  • 2010 – Sanctuaire (4/1F) Paul Nicholls, Ruby Walsh
  • 2009 – Silk Affair (11/1) Mick Quinlan, Tom O'Brien
  • 2008 – Crack Away Jack (14/1) Emma Lavelle, Paul Carberry 

Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Trends 

  • 7 of the 12 winners ran just 3 times over hurdles to get their handicap mark.
  • 7 of the 13 winners were fillies (from a small representation).
  • 6 of the 12 winners were beaten on their last 2 hurdle starts.
  • 24 of the last 37 win or placed horses were French bred of French imports.
  • 9 of the 13 winners had run in the past 25 days.
  • 3 of the 13 winners were the top rated flat horse.
  • 3 of the 13 winners had won at Sandown earlier in the season. 

Pointers And Reasoning 

This is the consolation for four-year-old horses who are not good enough to get into the Triumph Hurdle which is the championship race for juveniles. As a competitive handicap its not surprising that only one favourite has won over the last the years. The average price of the winner over that spell is 19/1 in a range from 13/2 to 40/1 and four winners were returned at 25/1 or bigger. Paul Nicholls has won three of the last ten renewals but there are no multiple winning jockeys since 2008. This is another race with no weights available and running plans have not been confirmed. ACT OF VALOUR could be the market mover leading up to the race.

Guide to the Weatherbys Champion Bumper 

2018 Cheltenham Festival Day Two – Wednesday March 14th 

  • National Hunt Flat Race (Two miles – Old Course) 
  • Open to horses aged between four and six-years-old only 

The Weathebys Champion Bumper as the race title would indicate is the most prestigious National Hunt Flat race of the season. The race often features horses that come back to the festival in subsequent years and do well over obstacles, most notably in recent years Cue Card. The Grade 1 contest is the concluding event on the second day of the festival and has been dominated by horses trained in Ireland.  

The Last 10 Winners of the Weatherbys Champion Bumper 

  • 2017 - Fayonagh - (7/1) Gordon Elliott, Jamie Codd
  • 2016 – Ballyandy (5/1) Nigel Twiston-Davies, Sam Twiston-Davies 
  • 2015 - Moon Racer (9/2F) David Pipe, Tom Scudamore
  • 2014 - Silver Concorde (16/1) Dermot Weld, Robbie McNamara
  • 2013 – Briar Hill (25/1) Willie Mullins, Ruby Walsh
  • 2012 – Champagne Fever (16/1) Willie Mullins, Mr Patrick Mullins
  • 2011 – Cheltenian (14/1) Philip Hobbs, Richard Johnson
  • 2010 – Cue Card (40/1) Colin Tizzard, Joe Tizzard
  • 2009 – Dunguib (9/2) Philip Fenton, Mr Brian O'Connell
  • 2008 – Cousin Vinny (12/1) Willie Mullins, Mr Patrick Mullins 

Weatherbys Champion Bumper Trends 

  • 23 of the 25 winners won last time out.
  • 13 of the 25 winners were unbeaten.
  • 19 of the 25 winners were Irish trained.
  • 18 of the 25 winners started in the first 6 in the betting.
  • 7 of the last 16 winners did not run in the same calendar year
  • 10 of the 25 winners were bred in Ireland.
  • 16 of the 25 winners had won a bumper with 14 or more runners.  

Pointers And Reasoning 

This is the only Flat race run at the Festival and the winner often goes on to produce great things over hurdles. Cue Card won the race at 40/1 in 2010 and has now become one of the most popular and successful chasers in training. Willie Mullins used to be the trainer to follow but he has not won the race since 2013. Only one favourite has obliged in the last decade and the average price of the winner in that time is 14/1. The race is for inexperienced horses and the winner might not have yet been seen on a racecourse. However, BLACKBOW has the best bumper form and the horse could be another winner for Mullins.  


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