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The Guineas Festival usually takes place at the end of April and beginning of May. It is usually a two-day fixture at Newmarket which features the 2,000 Guineas and 1,000 Guineas.  Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the season's calendar is rather different with racing only beginning at the start of June. This year will see a four-day meeting including the Coronation Cup being held on Friday June 5 a race usually held at Epsom. Racing will take place behind closed doors, so no big cheers over the next few days. Hopefully we can expect the 2021 meeting to have its regular format and be staged in May. Here is some historical information and betting and race trends for the 2000 Guineas (taking place on June 6) and 1000 Guineas (June 7).

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2000 Guineas

Prize Money & Trends  |  12 Year Winner Other Trends  |  2,000 Guineas Leading Contenders in 2020  |  2000 Guineas Betting Markets  |  Closing Comments on the 2000 Guineas

1000 Guineas

Prize Money & Trends  |  12 Year Winner Other Trends  |  1,000 Guineas Leading Contender in 2020  |  1000 Guineas Betting Markets  |  Closing Comments on the 1000 Guineas

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2000 Guineas - Last Year

The 2019 2,000 Guineas was run on May 4th on good ground. There were 19 runners, of which three were trained in Ireland.  All the runners were aged three and carried nine stones. Five runners started at single figure odds while only one runner started at 100/1 or bigger.

The 2,000 Guineas Result for 2019 :

Place Horse Jockey Trainer  SP
1st  Magna Grecia Donnacha O’Brien AP O’Brien 11/2
2nd King Of Change Sean Levey Richard Hannon 66/1
3rd Skardu James Doyle William Haggas 8/1
4th Madhmoon  Chris Hayes Kevin Prendergast 7/1

Prize Money

  1. Winner:  £297,018.62.
  2. 2nd:      £112,606.24.
  3. 3rd:      £56,335.50.
  4. 4th:      £28,073.00
  5. 5th:      £14,088.88.
  6. 6th:      £7,070.63.

2,000 Guineas Betting

Tote Win: £6.00 Place: £2.40, £2120, £2.70

EX: £521.40

CSF: £360.33

Tricast: £3,014.47

Trifecta: £4,430.10

2010-2019 Winners

 

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Makfi Christophe Lemaire Mikel Dezangles 33/1
2011 Camelot Tom Queally Henry Cecil  1/2F
2012 Frankel  Joseph O’Brien  Aidan O’Brien 15/8F
2013  Dawn Approach Kevin Manning  Jim Bolger 11/8F
2014 Night of Thunder Kieren Fallon Richard Hannon, Jr. 40/1
2015 Gleneagles Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 4/1F
2016 Galileo Gold Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer 14/1
2017 Churchill Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 6/4F
2018 Saxon Warrior Donnacha O’Brien Aidan O’Brien 3/1
2019  Magna Grecia Donnacha O’Brien Aidan O’Brien 11/2

 

Betting Trends for the 2000 Guineas

  • The average price of the winners:  over 10/1.
  • Range of Starting Prices:  1/2 to 40/1.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites:  5.
  • Odds-on favourites: 1.
  • Double-figure priced winners: 3.
  • Most common range of odds:  4 winners from 6/4 to 3/1.

Race Trends

  • British trained winners: 3.
  • Irish trained winners: 6.
  • French trained winners: 1.
  • Most common age: all runners are aged 3.
  • Weight range: all winners carried 9-00.
  • Leading jockey (wins):  Ryan Moore and Donnacha O’Brien (2).
  • Leading trainer: (wins):  Aidan O’Brien (5).

12 Year Winner & Other Trends

Price: 5 favourites and 7 in the top three in the betting.

Latest Run: 9 won on their previous start.

Course Form: 4 had one or more run at Newmarket.

Distance Form: 6 had run over 1 mile and 5 had won over one mile.

Flat Form:  10 had run 3 or more times on the Flat and 10 had two or more wins.

Rating: 9 had a rating of 110 or higher.

Group Wins: 11 had 1 win or more at Group level with 7 winning a Group 1.

Season Form: 3 ran that season and 2 had a win.

Winning Records Since 1809

Jockey : Jem Robinson with nine wins from 1825 to 1848.

Trainer : Aidan O’Brien with 10 wins 1998 to 2019.

Owner : Sue Magnier with 11 wins from 1997 to 2019.

2000 Guineas Betting Markets

At the time of writing (June 3) bookmakers were offering the following betting markets related to the 2,000 Guineas.

Winner

  • Each way at one fifth the odds for three places if there are 8 runners or more.
  • Winner trained in Ireland.
  • Winning distance.
  • Straight forecast and reverse forecast.

2020 2,000 Guineas Leading Contenders

The 2020 2,000 Guineas takes place at Newmarket on Saturday, June 6th  and at the time of writing here are the leading contenders:

Horse : Pinatubo
Trainer : Charlie Appleby
Jockey : William Buick
Racing Post Rating : 128
Official Rating : 128
Runs :  6
Wins :  6
Prize Money : £714,691

Horse : Arizona
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Ryan Moore
Racing Post Rating : 117
Official Rating : 116
Runs : 7
Wins : 2    
Prize Money : £288,249    

Horse : Kameko
Trainer : Andrew Balding
Jockey : Oisin Murphy
Racing Post Rating : 117
Official Rating : 118
Runs : 4
Wins : 2
Prize Money : £157,837

Horse : Kinross
Trainer : Ralph Beckett
Jockey : Harry Bentley
Racing Post Rating : 104
Official Rating : 105
Runs : 2
Wins : 1
Prize Money : £10,555    

Horse : Al Suhail
Trainer : Charlie Appleby
Jockey : James Doyle
Racing Post Rating : 114
Official Rating : 112
Runs : 4
Wins : 1
Prize Money : £25,442

Horse : Wichita
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Donnacha O’Brien
Racing Post Rating : 116
Official Rating : 114
Runs : 4
Wins : 2
Prize Money : £101,544

Horse : Military March
Trainer : Saeed bin Suroor
Jockey : Hector Crouch
Racing Post Rating : 115
Official Rating : 113
Runs : 2
Wins : 2
Prize Money : £39,201

Horse : Royal Dornoch
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Wayne Lordan
Racing Post Rating : 112
Official Rating : 110
Runs : 7
Wins : 2
Prize Money : £105,791    

Horse : Threat
Trainer : Richard Hannon
Jockey : Pat Dobbs                
Racing Post Rating : 115    
Official Rating : 114
Runs : 6
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £260,540

Horse : Siskin
Trainer : Ger Lyons
Jockey : Colin Keane
Racing Post Rating : 115
Official Rating : 114
Runs : 4
Wins : 4
Prize Money : £263,486

Closing Comments on the 2000 Guineas

The 2020 2,000 Guineas revolves around two things: the circumstances behind the rearranged date and the ability of PINATUBO. The race at Newmarket on the first Saturday in June takes place with no racegoers in attendance and behind closed doors.  Racing must adhere to a raft of health measures  while Pinatubo has the best ratings from a juvenile season for 25 years. Horse racing is able to cope with a new way of operating but the opposition should not be able to cope at Newmarket with Pinatubo who can win the 2020 2,000 Guineas with a fair bit in hand.

Background to the 2000 Guineas Race

The  2000 Guineas is the first of the five Classics during the British Flat season.  Only horses aged three are eligible and colts and fillies can take part.  The race is a Group 1 contest that is run over the straight Rowley Mile on turf at Newmarket. It is the first leg of the Triple Crown which is completed by the Derby at Epsom and St Leger at Doncaster.  The feat of winning all three races is rare and Nijinsky was the last horse to complete the treble, in  1970. Fifteen horses in total have won the Triple Crown, beginning with victory in the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket.

The first 2,000 Guineas took place in April 1809, five years before the equivalent race for fillies, the 1,000 Guineas.  The Jockey Club introduced these races to the Flat programme. The initial prize fund was one guinea which is 21 shillings or £1.05. By the mid-1860’s the race was established as one of the most prestigious for horses aged three. It became one of the five Classics which are still run in Britain. The concept has been replicated in other racing countries, including France and Ireland.  The main trials for the 2,000 Guineas are the Craven Stakes and Greenham Stakes.  The race itself is a key trial for the Derby. Since 2001 the 2,000 and 1,000 Guineas offered equal prize money.

2020 2,000 Guineas 

The 2020 2,000 Guineas was run on June 6th on good to firm ground. There were 15 runners, of which four were trained in Ireland.  All the runners were aged three and carried nine stones. Three runners started at single figure odds while three runners started at 100/1 or bigger.

Result 

Place Horse Jockey Trainer  SP
1st  Kameko Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding 10/1
2nd Wichita Frankie Dettori Aidan O'Brien 15/2
3rd Pinatubo William Buick Charlie Appleby 5/6 fav
4th Military March  Hector Crouch Saeed bin Suroor 20/1

Prize Money

  • Winner: £141,775.00.
  • 2nd: £53,750.00.
  • 3rd: £26,900.00.
  • 4th: £13.400.00
  • 5th: £6,725.00.
  • 6th: £3,375.00.

Betting 

Tote Win: £12.20 Place: £2.80, £2.40, £1.10

EX: £93.90

CSF: £73.24

Tricast: £132.54

Trifecta: £323.20

1000 Guineas

Last Year

The 2019 1000 Guineas was run on May 5th on good ground. There were 15 runners, of which seven were trained in Ireland.  All the runners were aged three and carried nine stones. Five runners started at single figure odds while only one runner started at 100/1 or bigger.

2019 1000 Guineas Result

 

Place Horse Jockey Trainer  SP
1st  Hermosa Wayne Lordan AP O’Brien 14/1
2nd Lady Kaya RC Colgan Sheila Lavery 11/1
3rd Qabala David Egan Roger Varian 7/2F
4th Angel’s Hideway Robert Havlin John Gosden 3/1

 

Prize Money

Winner £283,550.00

2nd £107,500.00

3rd £53,800.00

4th £26,800.00

5th £13,450.00

6th £6,785.00

1000 Guineas Betting

Tote Win: £16.00 Place: £4.30, £4.20, £1.70

EX: £202.50

CSF: £154.34

Tricast: £670.75

Trifecta: £1,448.30

2010-2019 Winners

 

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Special Duty  C Head-Maarek Stephane Pasquier 9/2F
2011 Blue Bunting Frankie Dettori Mahmood Al Zarooni 16/1
2012 Homecoming Queen Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 25/1
2013  Sky Lantern Richard Hughes Richard Hannon Snr 9/1
2014 Miss France Maxine Guyon Andre Fabre 7/1
2015 Legatissimo Ryan Moore David Wachman 13/2
2016 Minding Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 11/10F
2017 Winter Wayne Lordan Aidan O’Brien 9/1
2018 Billesdon Brook Sean Levey Richard Hannon 66/1
2019  Hermosa Wayne Lordan Aidan O’Brien 14/1

                           
1000 Guineas Betting Trends

  • The average price of the winners:  almost 16/1.
  • Range of Starting Prices:  11/10 to 66/1.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites:  2.
  • Odds-on favourites: 0.
  • Double-figure priced winners: 4.
  • Most common range of odds:  4 winners from 13/2 to 9/1.

1000 Guinea Race Trends

British trained winners: 2.

Irish trained winners: 6.

French trained winners: 1.

Most common age: all runners are aged 3.

Weight range: all winners carried 9-00.

Leading jockey (wins):  Wayne Lordan and Ryan Moore (2).

Leading trainer: (wins):  Aidan O’Brien (4).

12 Year Winner Other Trends

Age: The race is confined to horses aged three.

Price: 3 favourites and 5 in the top three in the betting.

Latest run: 6 won on their previous start.

Course form: 8 had 1 or more run at Newmarket.

Distance form: 9 had run over 1 mile and 4 had won over one mile.

Flat form:  10 had run 4 or more times on the Flat and 10 had 2 or more wins.

Rating: 8 had a rating of 106 or higher.

Group wins: 9 had 1 win or more at Group level.

Season form: 8 ran that season and 3 had a win.

Records Since 1814

Horse : Only horses aged three are eligible so there are no multiple winners.

Jockey : George Fordham with 7 wins from 1859 to 1883.

Trainer : Robert Robson with 9 wins from 1818 to 1827.

Owner : 4th Duke of Grafton with 8 wins from 1819 to 1827.

1000 Guineas Betting Markets

At the time of writing bookmakers were offering the following betting markets related to the 1,000 Guineas:

  • Winner
  • Each way at one fifth the odds for three places if there are 8 runners or more.
  • Each way at one fifth the odds for two places if there are 5 to 7 runners.
  • Win only if there are less than 5 runners.
  • Winner trained in Ireland.
  • Straight forecast and reverse forecast.

2020 1000 Guineas Leading Contenders

Horse : Quadrilateral                                
Trainer : Roger Charlton
Jockey : Jason Watson
Racing Post Rating : 115
Official Rating : 114
Runs : 3
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £336,564        
    
Horse : Love
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Ryan Moore
Racing Post Rating : 111
Official Rating : 111
Runs : 7
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £313,408

Horse : Millisle
Trainer : Mrs John Harrington
Jockey : Shane Foley
Racing Post Rating : 116
Official Rating : 115
Runs : 5
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £210,580
    
Horse : Peaceful
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Donnacha O’Brien
Racing Post Rating : 101
Official Rating : 100
Runs : 3
Wins : 1
Prize Money : £14,436

Horse : Raffle Prize
Trainer : Mark Johnston
Jockey : Frankie Dettori
Racing Post Rating : 114
Official Rating : 114
Runs : 6
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £255,887
    
Horse : Cloak of Spirits
Trainer : Richard Hannon
Jockey : Andrea Atzeni
Racing Post Rating : 108
Official Rating : 106
Runs : 3
Wins : 1
Prize Money : £18,433       

Horse : Boomer
Trainer : Tom Dascombe
Jockey : Richard Kingscote
Racing Post Rating : 108
Official Rating : 107
Runs : 5
Wins : 2
Prize Money : £63,615
    
Horse : So Wonderful
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Seamie Heffernan
Racing Post Rating : 107
Official Rating : 108
Runs : 8
Wins : 0
Prize Money : £60,646

Horse : Love Locket
Trainer : Aidan O’Brien
Jockey : Donnacha O’Brien
Racing Post Rating : 87
Official Rating : 88
Runs : 4
Wins : 1
Prize Money : £12,320

Horse : Under The Stars
Trainer : James Tate
Jockey : Oisin Murphy
Racing Post Rating : 108
Official Rating : 106
Runs : 6
Wins : 3
Prize Money : £138,712

Closing Comments on the 1000 Guineas

MILLISLE won the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket last September. The six furlongs contest for horse aged two is the most prestigious juvenile races for fillies.  The horse beat Raffle Prize into second place by one and three quarter lengths. The big question about these horses is whether they will stay the one mile of the 1,000 Guineas.  Neither horse has raced beyond six furlongs so stamina could be an issue. Aidan O’Brien is well-represented but love could be his best chance. Quadrilateral is a leading contender on form and ratings but Millisle is just preferred.

Background to the 1000 Guineas Race

The 1000 Guineas is the fillies’ equivalent of the 2,000 Guineas. The race is run over the straight Rowley Mile at Newmarket Racecourse.  In normal circumstances, the race takes place on the second day of the Guineas Meeting early in May. However, in 2020 it iss a four day Festival in the first week from June 4-7. The 1000 Guineas is the first leg of the fillies’ Triple Crown which is completed by the Oaks at Epsom and St Leger at Doncaster. The last horse to win these three races in the same season was Oh So Sharp in 1985. Nine horses have achieved the feat which begins by winning the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket.

The first 1000 Guineas took place in April 1814, so five years after the first 2000 Guineas.  The two races were founded by the man who established the Derby as the premier Flat race in the sport. As with the 2,000 Guineas, the original prize fund was 21 shillings or £1.05 which is known as "a guinea".  During the 1860’s the 1000 Guineas became established as one of the five Classics, a concept adopted by many other racing nations.  The main trials for the race are the Nell Gwynn Stakes and Fred Darling Stakes.  It is also key trial for the Oaks and the last horse to win both races was Minding in 2016.

2020 1,000 Guineas 

The 2020 1,000 Guineas was run on June 7th on good ground. There were 15 runners, of which two were trained in Ireland.  All the runners were aged three and carried nine stones. Four runners started at single figure odds while three runners started at 100/1 or bigger.

Result

Place Horse Jockey Trainer  SP
1st  Love Ryan Moore Aidan O'Brien 4/1
2nd Cloak Of Spirits Andrea Atzeni Richard Hannon 12/1
3rd Quadrilateral Jason Watson Roger Charlton 11/4 fav
4th Final Song  Pat Cosgrove Saeed bin Suroor 100/1

Prize Money         

  • Winner: £141,775.00.
  • 2nd: £53,750.00.
  • 3rd: £26,900.00.
  • 4th: £13.400.00
  • 5th: £6,725.00.
  • 6th: £3,375.00.

Betting 

Tote Win: £5.30 Place: £2.00, £4.10, £1.10

EX: £59.30

CSF: £45.82

Tricast: £157.26

Trifecta: £306.20

 

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