Sports Betting Tipping System
Sports betting has grown hugely since the start of the millennium and this trend has been helped by online opportunities. The number of sports, leagues and market have increased significantly. Recent growth areas include in-play and mobile betting. In 2015 more bets were placed on mobile devices than desktops for the first time. That figure has increased in the years since then as more people use mobile phones to access betting sites.
Oliver Cromwell once said: “He who stops being better stops being good”. Roughly translated this means sports bettors should learn from their experience and develop better strategies. The Japanese have a word for the concept of continual improvement: kaizen. We have identified this process by naming our parent company Kaizen Enterprises Ltd.
The thinking behind betting systems is to devise a strategy, test and proof that strategy over a decent period of time and apply the process to the way you place bets. In a book called 'Sports Betting to Win' published by Harriman House Ltd in 2011 (Copyright 978-0-857190-39-0) Steven Ward defined this process as the ODDA Model. The model has four elements that roughly equate to the procedure that should be adopted in implementing a betting strategy:
- Observe: make observations about sports results
- Orient: gather information
- Decide: sports and markets to bet on
- Act: place bets using a staking strategy
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Placing money on the outcome of sports events comprises a number of decisions: sports, leagues, markets, strategy and stakes. In the battle to be successful, decision making should be rational. Positive betting outcomes are more likely to be achieved when strategies are rational and applied with discipline.
Making irrational decisions is part of human nature but should be eliminated in the quest to be successful. One of the keys to making the right decisions is avoiding temptations that can affect the bottom line.
Steve Ward described the betting process as follows: developing situational awareness, making decisions and then acting in accordance with a set of desired outcomes. To paraphrase this theory look and learn would suffice. In a brochure published by Agora Lifestyles in 2010 called Proven Profit Systems the author gave plenty of helpful advice. We have tested their theories and handpicked 8 proven strategies covering the same number of sports.
So, we present a selection of systems that are proven and fun.
Backing Two-Year-Old Horses
Juvenile Flat races take place during the regular turf season between March and November. However, early season form can be unreliable and difficult to work out because many of the horses will have not run before. This system is most reliable from June to August because there will be some definite form lines to assess and the going will be consistently good.
This strategy has three distinct stages which are described below:
- In any daily newspaper identify horses running in races specifically for two-year-olds that finished in the first three places when they last run. Sixty-six per cent of this type of race are won by horses placed in their previous race.
- Horses that ran more than 35 days ago do not count.
- In races with more than one qualifier the shortest priced qualifier applies.
During the summer there might be more than one qualifier in different races so multiple bets are advised. By applying an adjusted stakes strategy the bank will grow steadily during a succesful period and be protected after a run of losing bets.
Avoid Household Names Occasionally
Snooker is a very popular betting sport with coverage on the BBC, ITV and Eurosport. The major tournaments (the UK Championship, Masters and World Championship) still appear on terrestrial television. However, punters still tend to back their favourites which create wrong prices and opportunities to take advantage. Frame betting is fraught with danger but backing a player to win a match or tournament is potentially more viable.
It is one sport in which an individual has no influence on play once the other player is at the table potting balls. This facet of the game means inexperienced players in form can beat an experienced opponent not quite at his best. Previous tournament form is irrelevant and current levels of play and confidence are more significant form factors.
In making selections punters should look at the relative recent form of each player. The key to adopting this strategy is to back players in form in matches against more experienced players who are not at their best. Having studied the recent results select players in form up against older more recognisable players but only back them at even money or better in conventional tournaments like the Masters, UK Championship and World Championship.
Follow Tail-Enders in Next Out Markets
Live betting on cricket is popular and there are many betting opportunities for in-play punters. The sport is played all year in different parts of the world and most series, One day Internationals and T20 matches are shown live. Once play begins bettors can wager on just about every facet of the game including the next batsman to be out.
Bookmakers price up this market regardless of which pair are batting. In many cases when players are of similar standard there is no edge for the punter. However, there is still an ideal betting scenario when a player from high up the order is at wicket with a tail-ender. This type of player is generally a specialist bowler who bats at eight or lower. Their objectives are not to lose their wicket and give most of the stroke to the specialist batsman.
In fact, some lower order batters are good at protecting their wicket and their batting average may not reflect their ability. Bookmakers are predictable when pricing these markets and will mainly make the player from higher up the order the outsider to be the next man to be dismissed. Certain criteria need to be met for a bet and these can be established by addressing the following questions:
- Does the better batsman need to score runs quickly because of the match situation?
- Is that player competent enough to manipulate the strike?
- Does he need to play risky shots?
- Does the tail-ender look safe and secure?
Given several yes’s there is value in backing the batsman from higher up the order at an exaggerated price.
Betting On Corners
Punters can bet on just about every aspect of a football match. The objective is to score goals and for some betting on the team that scores most and wins a match is the limit of their betting on the sport. Some customers prefer the slightly more exotic bets such as the number of corners and can establish an edge by recording the right numbers. During the second half of the domestic season with a bank of stats corner bettors have an advantage.
From the start of the season corners scored and conceded must be recorded for each match. This creates an average number of corners over the course of the season so far. The figures can reveal a potentially low scoring match due to teams taking part with low average corner counts. This strategy has been successful because not everyone takes the time to record team’s corner count.
Corner statistics are unambiguous but there are also five unquantifiable factors in determining the potential for a high or low number of corners which are:
- Attacking nature
- Defensive tactics
- Clearing lines
- Size of pitch
The purpose of this system is to identify above or below average number of corners in a match and bet accordingly.
Compare Scoring Records
Rugby League has been transformed by making it a summer game and creating the Super league, backed and televised by Sky Sports. Beyond the avid fans who bet on their own team rugby league betting is not too popular. However, an effective system can result in profitable betting on the sport. The information needed to implement this system is readily available in daily papers and online.
Bookmakers set a handicap for matches which equates to a head start for the underdog. The handicap reflects the bookmaker’s view on the relative ability of each side. Common practice is for both teams to be quoted at 5/6 or 10/11. Even mismatches can provide betting opportunities because the handicap is an equaliser. Here is the simple procedure for assessing the accuracy of the handicap:
- Find each side’s point’s difference
- Divide this number by the number of matches played
- Compare the ratings for each side
If there is a difference of more than three points between the ratings and the bookmaker’s quote a bet is indicated. Retrospective statistics can also be used to confirm these findings and lead to a bigger bet. This method does not guarantee a 100% strike rate but the law of averages should ensure a healthy profit over time.