Clarence House Chase Preview : Brain Power Can Justify The Market Move
- Ascot Racecourse
- January 20th at 3.35pm
- Live on ITV4
Un De Sceaux has won the Clarence House Chase in the last two years and is the odds-on favourite to win the race this year at Ascot on Saturday. The horse will be difficult to beat on ratings and is the best chaser in the field. However, there has been a significant market move on Brain Power and the horse can justify the punters’ confidence by beating Un De Sceaux and the rest of the field. You can back Brain Power or your selection using a bookmaker horse racing free bet.
There were five runners left in the race after the final declarations. If five horses go to post bookmakers will pay out on two places but if one or more are withdrawn it will be win only for are four or less runners. The two market leaders are confirmed runners and Ladbrokes go 11/1 the field. Its about 1/4 that the winner comes from the first two horses in the betting so this is virtually a match.
Un de Sceaux has won 9 chases from 13 starts over fences, including the Grade 1 Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival last season. That race is run over two miles five furlongs so the Clarence House Chase could be on the sharp side at this stage of the horse’s career. God’s Own has run well in several races at the highest level but over two miles while Kylemore Lough was pulled up last time out at Cheltenham in November. The money on Brain Power looks well placed.
Brain Power could be backed at 8/1 on Monday morning but is now the worst result for bookmakers. Usually they would like an odds-on shot to get turned over but Un De Sceaux (4/7 with Coral) could save a significant payout if prevailing in the race again. Brain Power is a novice trained by Nicky Henderson who has always thought highly of the horse. He wouldn’t make an entry in a Grade 1 race just for the sake of it so clearly Brain Power has shown him something at home. The horse now faces his biggest test on the course.
The Henderson runner is 12 pounds inferior to Un De Sceaux on Racing Post Ratings. Brain Power has only won one novice chase so in theory is up against it in a race with the Willie Mullins trained runner. However, drier conditions at Ascot on Saturday will suit Brain Power more than his rival. The horse has been flying at home and holding his own with champions Altior and Buveur D’Air which could explain the plunge.
Un De Sceaux is proven over course and distance but is now aged 10. Its 28 years since a horse that old has won the race so the trends are against the current favourite. Henderson has won the race four times and his Sprinter Sacre obliged and then won the Champion Chase in 2013. Brain Power is not in that class and the trainer has Altior for the Cheltenham race but he can still win the 2018 Clarence House Chase.
BRAIN POWER can upset the favourite and reward backers.
- The race is run over two miles and one furlong and there are 13 fences.
- It is open to horses aged five and older.
- Six horses have won the race and the Champion Chase in the same season.
- Since 2007 the race has had Grade 1 status having been a handicap.
- Five-year-olds and mares receive a weight allowance.
- Master Minded and Un De Sceaux are the only dual winners.
- Un De Sceaux is the only winner in consecutive years.
- Ruby Walsh is the leading jockey with four wins.
- Paul Nicholls is the leading trainer with five wins.
- Since 1991 every winner has been aged between six and nine.