DP World Tour Championship Preview : Sergio Garcia Can Win This Week But Miss Out On The Race to Dubai

Golf previews
Last Updated : 14th November, 2017 By Peter Roberts

Event Venue: Jumeirah Golf Resorts, UAE, Thursday November 16th at 4am. Live on Sky Sports.

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Sergio Garcia could not hit another golf ball in his life but still die a happy man. In the 1999 US PGA Championship he took Tiger Woods all the way but could not quite win his first major. Eighteen years later Garcia finally broke his major duck by winning the Masters to show he could win at the highest level. He can end his European Tour campaign with a victory in the DP World Tour Championship but miss out on the Race to Dubai. You can back Garcia or your own selection using a bookmaker golf free bet. 

Garcia, Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose are realistically the only players who could win what used to be called the Order of Merit. There are a number of potential scenarios and Garcia has to win this week and hope the other two players finish down the field. The Spanish player can keep his part of the bargain but Rose has the form and ability to do enough to overhaul Fleetwood at the top of the standings. The current leader looks vulnerable and Rose can take advantage. 

The season-finale is being played at the Jumeirah Golf Estates course for the ninth successive year so there is plenty of course form to assess. The course at almost 7,700 yards is above average in length and driving distance is a key skill. However, this is a second shot course which means hitting the greens in regulation is vital for good scoring. Players must then putt well to post competitive scores. Since 2009 the average winning score is 20 under which means level 67s over four rounds. 

Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson are dual champions but both are absent this week. McIlroy is taking an extended break from the game and Stenson is not quite fit enough and he has little to play for in Dubai. From 15th place in the current standings he could qualify for a share of the million bonus prize money for the top 10 players in the race. However, Stenson must have many millions in the bank and money is not an issue. McIlroy now wants to win the US Masters next April and thus become just the sixth player to complete the career Grand Slam.      

Matthew Fitzpatrick is the defending champion and Lee Westwood won the title in 2009, in the first year of the concept. Both players are in good shape to make the top 10 and earn some of the Race to Dubai bonus. Branden Grace is currently in 9th after winning the Nedbank Challenge last week. Jon Rahm and Tyrell Hatton are top five players but too far behind the top three to win the Race to Dubai. The top 10 in the latest table are all playing this week. Rose (6/1 with William Hill) is best placed to overhaul Fleetwood.  

Garcia is one of the best long iron players in the world. He has a good record in strokes gained from tee to green. His putting technique held up in the Masters and given a good week on the greens he can win the 2017 DP World Tour Championship. 

FREEbets.org.uk Tip

SERGIO GARCIA has the form and a decent skill’s profile so can prevail in Dubai this week.

Get odds of 16/1 on Betfair with Betfair (£100 Free Bet)



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Statistics


  • The average winning score over the last eight years is 20 under.
  • There has been one playoff and four winning margins of one or two strokes in that spell.
  • The biggest margin of victory is six shots.
  • Europeans have won each of the eight renewals.
  • The leading 60 players in the Race to Dubai have qualified.


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