Group F Match Three Preview : South Korea v Germany and Mexico v Sweden
Event Venue: Kazan and Ekaterinburg, Russia, Wednesday June 27th at 3pm. Live on BBC.See Stats
Mexico have won both their matches without conceding a goal but they could still miss out on qualifying for the last 16. If Sweden win their fixture and Germany beat South Korea three nations will be on six points and then goal difference counts. A 2-0 win for Sweden and any Germany win means Mexico go home. South Korea have no points from two matches so can’t progress.
South Korea v Germany
The famous old saying and cliché that you should never write off the Germans never applied more than in their win over Sweden. Having lost to Mexico in the first phase and then falling behind Germany beat Sweden thanks to a winning goal deep in injury time. Despite clawing their way back into the tournament Germany have not impressed so far in this World Cup. There were rumours of some disharmony in the camp but Germany are past masters at peaking at the right time during tournaments. The holders still have an abundance of talent in all areas and they will grow as a team. However, after several retirements there is no outstanding leader in the squad and that could ultimately be a difficult handicap to overcome. However, Germany should have too much for a South Korea side that look vulnerable in defence. They are very athletic with plenty of speed but a long list of injury victims means Germany can win this match to nil and that outcome is 10/11 with Ladbrokes.
Mexico v Sweden
Assuming Germany take care of business against South Korea this match will determine which team qualifies with the holders. If Germany do the unthinkable and lose a draw would suffice for both teams. In past World Cups the final fixtures in a group were staggered and this led to manipulation when two teams knew a draw was good enough for both. The third matches in a group are now played at the same time but the latest score from the reverse match will filter through. Whatever Germany do a draw for Mexico will be enough to win the group and move on to a last 16 fixture against the second placed team in Group E which could be Brazil. Mexico don’t have the incentive to win this match but Sweden need three points to progress if Germany win. Organisation is everything for Sweden but the squad lacks flair and will be vulnerable to Mexico counter attacks. Zlatan Ibrahimovic always gave them a chance but he has retired. Mexico are strong in defence and fast going forward when they win the ball. They can be susceptible at set pieces which Sweden do well but in this case Mexico’s class will tell and they can oblige at 7/5 with Coral.
- There have been eight goals in four matches.
- Each team has scored at least one goal.
- Two of the matches were won to nil.
- Both teams scored in two matches.
- There were over 2.5 goals in two matches.
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