The 2019 Women’s World Cup Betting Preview : Back the best team in tournament history

Football previews
Last Updated : 3rd June, 2019 By Mike L

Event Venue: France, 7 June - 7 July. Live on the BBC.

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The 2019 Women’s World Cup appears to have four genuine contenders with a good chance of getting their hands on the trophy: defending champions USA, host nation France, twice-champions Germany and...England.

They are quite comfortably the four highest ranked teams in the world and the odds reflect that. France and America are level-pegging with the shortest odds, with Germany and then England behind them, which is a very understandable assessment.

Unlike in the men’s game, FIFA seem to get the women’s teams in a pretty accurate order when it comes to quality. USA top the rankings and they make the most compelling case of any to win the World Cup for a fourth time.

The USWNT have lost just one of their last 38 fixtures, dating back to July 2017. They have won their last six matches, keeping a clean sheet in five of them. They may not have won the SheBelieves Cup earlier this year, but they went through the tournament undefeated, only narrowly losing out to England who claimed the title.

The experience in the US squad is vast, especially in their wily set of forwards. Strikers Carli Lloyd, Alex Morgan, Megan Rapinoe, Tobin Heath, and Christen Press boast 856 caps between them, with both Lloyd and Morgan netting over 100 times for their country.

Host nation France, clearly have the home advantage, and they have a number of vastly experienced players to call upon as well – Eugenie Le Sommer, Gaetane Thiney and Elise Bussaglia to name but three. They are also the last side to beat the Americans, with the USA’s only defeat in their last 38 matches coming in a friendly in Le Harve which the French won 3-1.

France have prepared well, winning their last five matches, with good wins over Japan and China in there. However, they just do not have the World Cup pedigree of the US, or even the less fancied Germans. France have often been one of the more fancied teams at World Cups, but their best performance is a run to the semi-finals in 2011. They came close four years ago, but lost out on penalties to the Germans in the quarter-finals.

In contrast, USA have never failed to reach a semi-final. They have been to four finals and won three of them, including the last one, in which they hammered Japan 5-2. In comparison to France, and to almost any other side, they are a World Cup juggernaut.

The only team with a comparable World Cup history to the Americans is Germany, who have won this tournament twice, reached another final and two further semi-finals. However, they are not quite the force they have been in the past – still highly likely to reach the final four, but they are a step behind the US, against whom they have a poor record. While a game with France would be tough to call, America would be comfortable favourites against Germany.

England are the dark horses, in some ways, having won the SheBelieves Cup this year, which featured the US, Japan and Brazil. However, they haven’t quite reaffirmed their superiority since then, losing friendlies to Canada and New Zealand.

They are a danger to anyone with Nikita Parris and Toni Duggan up front and have a very solid spine through the side. They will give anyone a game, but maybe do not have the quality in all areas to truly challenge the favourites.

Back USA to win the Women’s World Cup at 7/2 with Ladbrokes

If USA do go on to win their fourth title then Alex Morgan is sure to score plenty of goals in the process. The 29-year-old has scored 101 goals in just 163 caps for her country and has been a reliable performer for the Stars and Stripes for almost a decade.

She got in tournament mood last year by scoring seven goals in just five games as USA won the CONCACAF Women’s Championship. Morgan, and her side, also seems to have been handed a pretty decent draw in the group stage, which will give her a better shout of securing the Golden Boot this summer.

USA are in Group F alongside Thailand, Chile and Sweden, and while the European side will be no pushover, the Thais and the Chileans will be brushed aside pretty handily by the Americans. These are also the first two matches for Team USA of the tournament, so there is no question of them easing off with qualification assured. They will be a couple of hammerings and Morgan will fill her boots.

Alex Morgan to be Women’s World Cup top scorer at 6/1 with William Hill

Away from the American champions, there is some value to be had in backing which Englishwomen will score the most goals for her side, and that woman is Nikita Parris.

The 25-year-old finished as top scoring Englishwoman in the WSL this year with Manchester City, scoring 19 goals. Only second to Arsenal’s Dutch striker Vivianne Miedema with 22, while Parris also mustered seven assists in a thoroughly impressive season.

So successful was her campaign that she has earned a move to Lyon, the best side in Europe, and will join the likes of Le Sommer and Ada Hegerberg there next season.

Jodie Taylor and Beth Mead are contenders to be England’s top scorer, but Parris is clearly the best option and looks very decent value at 9/4.

Nikita Parris to be Top Lionness goal scorer at 9/4 with Paddy Power



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Statistics


  • USA have won the Women’s World Cup three times, more than any other side
  • France have never reached the final of the Women’s World Cup
  • The host nation has only ever won the Women’s World Cup once
  • Japan have reached the last two finals of the Women’s World Cup
  • USA did not lose a match at the 2015 Women’s World Cup
  • England won this year’s SheBelieves Cup, featuring USA, Brazil and Japan
  • USA have lost one of their last 38 matches
  • France have won their last five matches, their last defeat coming against Germany
  • France were the last team to beat the US
  • Former champions Norway are all the way out at 66/1with some bookmakers

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