The Derby Preview : Saxon Warrior Looks A Good Thing

The Derby Preview
Last Updated : 30th May, 2018 By Peter Roberts

Event Venue: Epsom Racecourse, Saturday June 2nd at 4.30pm. Live on ITV .

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Saxon Warrior has developed into a very special horse and can complete the second leg of the Triple Crown by winning the Derby at Epsom on Saturday. The most famous and prestigious Flat race in the world is there for the taking for the Aidan O’Brien trained horse. If the favourite obliges all roads lead to Doncaster and the St Leger and an attempt to become the first colt to win three Classics in the same season since Nijinsky in 1970. You can back the selection or your own tips using a bookmaker horse racing free bet. 

The 2,000 Guineas is often a good trial for the Derby even though the Rowley Mile at Newmarket is very different to the 12 furlongs course at Epsom. However, both courses have undulations at key parts of the races so balance is an important attribute. Saxon Warrior handled The Dip at Newmarket and was one of the most impressive winners of the colt’s Classic over one mile for a number of years. O’Brien has now won the Derby six times including four times in the last six years. 

Saxon Warrior (4/6 with William Hill) has no apparent weaknesses for a potential Derby winner who must cope with the unique demands of the track and occasion. The Epsom course has undulations on the final turn and a camber on the run-in. A horse must display speed, temperament and stamina to win the biggest race on the Flat in the sport. Sport is not an exact science but if everything goes to plan Saxon Warrior looks a very good thing in the Derby.

There doesn’t appear to be a flaw in the profile of Saxon Warrior and the jockey will be Ryan Moore. He is seen as the best jockey in the world when the races matter most and he won the Derby in 2010 and 2013. Saxon Warrior is the best horse over one mile and could improve over the longer trip. The form doesn’t appear to be ground dependent so finding a horse to make the frame is the challenge. 

Dee Ex Bee and Knight To Behold (16/1 with Coral) are progressive horses who could make the frame at a big price. Roaring Lion won the Dante Stakes and six winners since 1992 have won that race and the Derby. Young Rascal would be an appropriate winner because the owner works for the race sponsors. The horse’s trial win at Chester would have made the horse just about favourite for the Derby in an ordinary year but Saxon Warrior is exceptional. 

The three Classics that make up the Triple Crown are run from one mile to one mile six furlongs, from May to September on different types of track and Saxon Warrior has the scope to win all three.  The horse could be the first Derby winner at odds-on since Camelot for O’Brien in 2012. The 2,000 Guineas winner in that year was just thwarted in the St Leger and finished second but SAXON WARRIOR can go one better after winning the 2018 Derby. 

Freebets.org.uk Tip 

SAXON WARRIOR cannot be opposed in the Flat race that matters most. 

Get odds of 4/6 on Saxon Warrior with William Hill (18+ t&c's apply)



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Statistics


  • Colts and fillies aged three are eligible.
  • The race is run over one mile and four furlongs on the same course and distance as the Oaks.
  • It’s the second leg of the colt’s Triple Crown made up of the 2,000 Guineas and St Leger.
  • The key trials include the Chester Vase, 2,000 Guineas and Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial.
  • Six winners since 1992 won the Dante Stakes at York.
  • The leading jockey is Lester Piggott with 9 wins.  
  • The leading owner is the Coolmore syndicate with 7 wins.
  • Three trainers have won the Derby seven times which is a record.
  • The average price of the winners since 2008 is 15/2.
  • The Starting Price of these winners range from 8/13 to 40/1. 

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